NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of Trade

020601
RatesTFF

Signal state

Neutral+16

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+46 pts

Target Exposure

+16%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of TradeLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max183,697530,021+26,282+62,482-175,610+122,35910.3%28.8%2,036,881
Min82,982317,759-28,870-151,229-397,862-61,6444.6%17.7%1,727,709
13 Per. Avg140,418406,762-666-5,648-266,344+4,9827.7%22.3%1,826,529
May 26, 2026124,095444,841+1,673-3,964-320,746+5,6376.2%22.2%2,004,616
May 19, 2026122,422448,805-11,324+18,863-326,383-30,1876.5%23.9%1,879,052
May 12, 2026133,746429,942+13,665+24,388-296,196-10,7237.3%23.4%1,837,021
May 5, 2026120,081405,554-3,911+57,733-285,473-61,6446.6%22.2%1,829,774
Apr 28, 2026123,992347,821+1,722+9,391-223,829-7,6696.9%19.3%1,800,714
Apr 21, 2026122,270338,430+9+10,651-216,160-10,6426.8%18.8%1,804,347
Apr 14, 2026122,261327,779-10,637+10,020-205,518-20,6576.9%18.4%1,778,844
Apr 7, 2026132,898317,759-10,917-1,666-184,861-9,2517.4%17.8%1,786,514
Mar 31, 2026143,815319,425-28,870-151,229-175,610+122,3598.0%17.7%1,803,899
Mar 24, 2026172,685470,654-11,012+9,958-297,969-20,9709.6%26.3%1,792,430
Mar 17, 2026183,697460,696+8,818-8,915-276,999+17,73310.3%25.7%1,791,160
Mar 10, 2026174,879469,611+26,282-36,977-294,732+63,2599.7%26.1%1,800,996
Mar 3, 2026148,597506,588+15,845-11,674-357,991+27,5198.1%27.6%1,835,511
Feb 24, 2026132,752518,262-10,782-11,759-385,510+9776.5%25.4%2,036,881
Feb 17, 2026143,534530,021+8,866+62,482-386,487-53,6167.8%28.8%1,837,592
Feb 10, 2026134,668467,539+9,117+12,615-332,871-3,4987.6%26.6%1,760,556
Feb 3, 2026125,551454,924+2,850-41,088-329,373+43,9387.3%26.3%1,727,709
Jan 27, 2026122,701496,012+3,502-10,204-373,311+13,7066.7%27.0%1,835,009
Jan 20, 2026119,199506,216+12,715+1,870-387,017+10,8456.5%27.6%1,832,790
Jan 13, 2026106,484504,346-17,048+7,283-397,862-24,3315.9%27.8%1,815,614
Jan 6, 2026123,532497,063-1,636+32,201-373,531-33,8376.6%26.6%1,871,364
Dec 30, 2025125,168464,862+3,896+2,989-339,694+9076.8%25.1%1,848,982
Dec 23, 2025121,272461,873+15,263-6,871-340,601+22,1346.6%24.9%1,852,267
Dec 16, 2025106,009468,744+23,027+23,539-362,735-5125.7%25.1%1,864,082
Dec 9, 202582,982445,205-21,689-28,372-362,223+6,6834.6%24.9%1,787,424
Dec 2, 2025104,671473,577+0+0-368,906+05.7%25.7%1,842,126

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 2,004,616 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

124,095444,841-320,746+6.2%+22.2%-16.0%+5,637

Asset Manager

1,065,732595,133470,599+53.2%+29.7%+23.5%-24,499

Dealer Intermediary

19,782240,995-221,213+1.0%+12.0%-11.0%+4,489

Nonreportable

262,170178,81883,352+13.1%+8.9%+4.2%+15,976

Other Reportables

93,675105,667-11,992+4.7%+5.3%-0.6%-1,603

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Positioning is neutral this week. This week's COT print is more bullish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

Positioning is neutral this week. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 320,746 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro currents are clearly supportive for Ust Bond - Chicago Board Of Trade, with the broader regime reinforcing the current bias.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Positioning is neutral this week. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.