NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Ust 5Y Note - Chicago Board Of Trade

044601
RatesTFF

Signal state

Neutral+11

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+40 pts

Target Exposure

+11%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ust 5Y Note - Chicago Board Of TradeLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max562,6063,852,367+92,666+79,072-2,071,353+331,8458.6%57.5%7,431,251
Min317,5562,525,945-138,892-327,443-3,433,785-86,6484.7%36.9%6,445,179
13 Per. Avg488,8293,038,576-8,309-83,402-2,549,747+75,0937.4%45.7%6,649,084
May 26, 2026454,5922,525,945-92,349-327,443-2,071,353+235,0946.6%36.9%6,847,723
May 19, 2026546,9412,853,388+41,049-1,709-2,306,447+42,7587.8%40.9%6,977,994
May 12, 2026505,8922,855,097+92,666-8,970-2,349,205+101,6367.5%42.2%6,769,315
May 5, 2026413,2262,864,067-33,923+8,546-2,450,841-42,4696.2%43.3%6,620,931
Apr 28, 2026447,1492,855,521-99,313-99,527-2,408,372+2146.9%44.0%6,484,836
Apr 21, 2026546,4622,955,048+13,671-32,861-2,408,586+46,5328.4%45.5%6,497,190
Apr 14, 2026532,7912,987,909-24,386-9,347-2,455,118-15,0398.2%46.0%6,495,803
Apr 7, 2026557,1772,997,256+52,604-70,871-2,440,079+123,4758.6%46.5%6,445,179
Mar 31, 2026504,5733,068,127+612-21,558-2,563,554+22,1707.8%47.1%6,510,131
Mar 24, 2026503,9613,089,685+26,287-305,558-2,585,724+331,8457.7%47.0%6,569,294
Mar 17, 2026477,6743,395,243+37,051-131,299-2,917,569+168,3507.1%50.7%6,692,876
Mar 10, 2026440,6233,526,542+16,909-1,115-3,085,919+18,0246.5%52.2%6,756,942
Mar 3, 2026423,7143,527,657-138,892-82,511-3,103,943-56,3816.3%52.1%6,769,879
Feb 24, 2026562,6063,610,168+36,062-27,418-3,047,562+63,4807.6%48.9%7,376,192
Feb 17, 2026526,5443,637,586+18,672+9,962-3,111,042+8,7107.1%48.9%7,431,251
Feb 10, 2026507,8723,627,624+68,817+3,948-3,119,752+64,8697.3%51.9%6,991,253
Feb 3, 2026439,0553,623,676-21,288+52,493-3,184,621-73,7816.4%52.5%6,896,712
Jan 27, 2026460,3433,571,183+11,568-104,363-3,110,840+115,9316.8%52.7%6,777,146
Jan 20, 2026448,7753,675,546+8,619-33,125-3,226,771+41,7446.7%54.5%6,749,172
Jan 13, 2026440,1563,708,671-261-109,218-3,268,515+108,9576.6%55.2%6,720,965
Jan 6, 2026440,4173,817,889-9,297-34,478-3,377,472+25,1816.5%56.7%6,737,810
Dec 30, 2025449,7143,852,367+17,128+28,300-3,402,653-11,1726.7%57.5%6,704,829
Dec 23, 2025432,5863,824,067+56,535+70,533-3,391,481-13,9986.4%56.9%6,725,829
Dec 16, 2025376,0513,753,534+58,495+2,193-3,377,483+56,3025.6%56.3%6,666,992
Dec 9, 2025317,5563,751,341-7,576+79,072-3,433,785-86,6484.7%55.9%6,714,507
Dec 2, 2025325,1323,672,269+0+0-3,347,137+04.9%54.8%6,696,583

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 6,847,723 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

454,5922,525,945-2,071,353+6.6%+36.9%-30.3%+235,094

Asset Manager

3,831,5441,123,7172,707,827+56.0%+16.4%+39.5%-164,625

Dealer Intermediary

81,991778,447-696,456+1.2%+11.4%-10.2%-129,390

Nonreportable

457,425393,14364,282+6.7%+5.7%+0.9%+96,647

Other Reportables

204,237208,537-4,300+3.0%+3.0%-0.1%-37,726

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Positioning is drifting back toward balance. This week's COT print is less bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 2,071,353 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Ust 5Y Note - Chicago Board Of Trade.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.