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Live CFTC

Transco Zone 5 South Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div

0233FJ
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+30

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+9 pts

Target Exposure

+30%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Transco Zone 5 South Basis - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max26,844972+5,093+51525,872+5,09315.8%0.6%174,864
Min12,3950-2,852-15012,348-2,9717.5%0.0%151,093
13 Per. Avg19,319114+916+7519,205+84112.2%0.1%157,559
Mar 24, 202626,844972+1,998+45725,872+1,54115.8%0.6%169,850
Mar 17, 202624,846515+969+51524,331+45415.4%0.3%161,003
Mar 10, 202623,8770-36+023,877-3615.3%0.0%156,621
Mar 3, 202623,9130+1,800+023,913+1,80014.8%0.0%161,363
Feb 24, 202622,1130+5,093+022,113+5,09314.2%0.0%155,706
Feb 17, 202617,0200+62+017,020+6211.3%0.0%151,093
Feb 10, 202616,9580-1,315+016,958-1,31511.2%0.0%151,465
Feb 3, 202618,2730+1,273+018,273+1,27311.4%0.0%160,109
Jan 27, 202617,0000+1,443+017,000+1,44310.7%0.0%159,206
Jan 20, 202615,5570+973+015,557+97310.3%0.0%151,140
Jan 13, 202614,5840-432+014,584-4329.4%0.0%154,266
Jan 6, 202615,0160-136+015,016-1369.8%0.0%153,357
Dec 30, 202515,1520+214+015,152+2149.3%0.0%163,094
Dec 23, 202514,9380+925+014,938+9259.2%0.0%162,849
Dec 16, 202514,0130+303+014,013+3038.7%0.0%161,699
Dec 9, 202513,7100+1,175-14013,710+1,3158.6%0.0%158,695
Dec 2, 202512,535140+0+012,395+07.5%0.1%166,990
Nov 25, 202512,535140-645+012,395-6457.5%0.1%166,499
Nov 18, 202513,180140+785+9313,040+6928.0%0.1%164,349
Nov 10, 202512,39547-1,767-15012,348-1,6177.6%0.0%162,625
Nov 4, 202514,162197-331+013,965-3318.3%0.1%171,134
Oct 28, 202514,493197-428+3114,296-4598.6%0.1%168,354
Oct 21, 202514,921166+206+014,755+2069.0%0.1%165,904
Oct 14, 202514,715166-151+014,549-1519.0%0.1%164,020
Oct 7, 202514,866166-2,852+11914,700-2,9719.3%0.1%159,867
Sep 30, 202517,71847+0+017,671+010.1%0.0%174,864

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 169,850 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

26,84497225,872+15.8%+0.6%+15.2%+1,541

Producer Merchant

99,143140,861-41,718+58.4%+82.9%-24.6%-3,372

Swap Dealers

25,2119,45215,759+14.8%+5.6%+9.3%-333

Nonreportable

12,26112,17487+7.2%+7.2%+0.1%+2,164

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded long.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Traders are heavily crowded long. Managed Money is currently net long by 25,872 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Transco Zone 5 South Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.