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Live CFTC

Tetco M2 Basis (Receipts) - Ice Futures Energy Div

0233DR
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+38

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+46 pts

Target Exposure

+38%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Tetco M2 Basis (Receipts) - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max26,8725,247+2,901+1,71226,001+2,6845.2%0.9%567,929
Min21,3780-4,471-99220,396-4,4714.2%0.0%512,102
13 Per. Avg25,2972,861-74+32722,436-4014.6%0.5%553,370
May 26, 202625,6435,247-210+33020,396-5404.7%0.9%549,605
May 19, 202625,8534,917+269+48020,936-2114.7%0.9%548,520
May 12, 202625,5844,437+60+021,147+604.7%0.8%547,170
May 5, 202625,5244,437+279+31521,087-364.7%0.8%542,756
Apr 28, 202625,2454,122+214+21721,123-34.5%0.7%558,076
Apr 21, 202625,0313,905+31+96121,126-9304.5%0.7%555,743
Apr 14, 202625,0002,944-182+022,056-1824.5%0.5%552,516
Apr 7, 202625,1822,944-1,074+57222,238-1,6464.6%0.5%549,057
Mar 31, 202626,2562,372+2,345+1,71223,884+6334.6%0.4%567,929
Mar 24, 202623,911660-511+45023,251-9614.2%0.1%563,544
Mar 17, 202624,422210-302+21024,212-5124.4%0.0%550,129
Mar 10, 202624,7240-1,759-99224,724-7674.5%0.0%545,776
Mar 3, 202626,483992-122+025,491-1224.7%0.2%562,989
Feb 24, 202626,605992+2,901+21725,613+2,6844.9%0.2%547,268
Feb 17, 202623,704775+304+24822,929+564.5%0.1%525,985
Feb 10, 202623,400527-1,986-25322,873-1,7334.5%0.1%513,790
Feb 3, 202625,386780+562+024,606+5624.7%0.1%537,750
Jan 27, 202624,824780+400+024,044+4004.7%0.1%532,166
Jan 20, 202624,424780+472+28023,644+1924.7%0.1%524,445
Jan 13, 202623,952500+2,574+023,452+2,5744.6%0.1%520,505
Jan 6, 202621,378500-1,215-62320,878-5924.2%0.1%512,102
Dec 30, 202522,5931,123+192+021,470+1924.2%0.2%539,012
Dec 23, 202522,4011,123-4,471+021,278-4,4714.2%0.2%538,430
Dec 16, 202526,8721,123+151+40325,749-2525.2%0.2%519,484
Dec 9, 202526,721720+899-89926,001+1,7985.2%0.1%514,771
Dec 2, 202525,8221,619+0+024,203+04.9%0.3%532,198

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 549,605 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

25,6435,24720,396+4.7%+0.9%+3.7%-540

Swap Dealers

4,371505,949-501,578+0.8%+92.1%-91.3%-1,586

Producer Merchant

485,45210,788474,664+88.3%+2.0%+86.4%+907

Nonreportable

12,3782,8379,541+2.3%+0.5%+1.7%-125

Other Reportables

03,023-3,023+0.0%+0.5%-0.5%+1,344

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Crowding

Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising. Managed Money is currently net long by 20,396 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro currents are clearly supportive for Tetco M2 Basis (Receipts) - Ice Futures Energy Div, with the broader regime reinforcing the current bias.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.