NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Tco Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div

02339W
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-22

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-22%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Tco Basis - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max3565,204+356+1,897356+7670.2%2.5%220,625
Min00-184-767-5,044-1,8970.0%0.0%192,108
13 Per. Avg244,175+14+165-4,151-1510.0%2.1%200,194
Mar 24, 20261815,204+53+382-5,023-3290.1%2.5%209,381
Mar 17, 20261284,822+128+124-4,694+40.1%2.5%196,318
Mar 10, 202604,698+0-346-4,698+3460.0%2.4%194,715
Mar 3, 202605,044+0+58-5,044-580.0%2.4%207,943
Feb 24, 202604,986+0+546-4,986-5460.0%2.4%204,531
Feb 17, 202604,440+0+185-4,440-1850.0%2.2%198,338
Feb 10, 202604,255+0-550-4,255+5500.0%2.2%194,818
Feb 3, 202604,805+0+1,042-4,805-1,0420.0%2.3%206,882
Jan 27, 202603,763+0+540-3,763-5400.0%1.9%202,056
Jan 20, 202603,223+0+224-3,223-2240.0%1.6%197,078
Jan 13, 202602,999+0+30-2,999-300.0%1.6%193,620
Jan 6, 202602,969+0-95-2,969+950.0%1.6%192,108
Dec 30, 202503,064+0+0-3,064+00.0%1.5%204,738
Dec 23, 202503,064+0+428-3,064-4280.0%1.5%204,906
Dec 16, 202502,636+0+403-2,636-4030.0%1.3%203,780
Dec 9, 202502,233+0+276-2,233-2760.0%1.1%205,687
Dec 2, 202501,957+0+0-1,957+00.0%0.9%215,230
Nov 25, 202501,957-172+0-1,957-1720.0%0.9%214,126
Nov 18, 20251721,957+0+0-1,785+00.1%0.9%213,314
Nov 10, 20251721,957-184+60-1,785-2440.1%0.9%209,753
Nov 4, 20253561,897+0+0-1,541+00.2%0.9%220,227
Oct 28, 20253561,897+0+1,897-1,541-1,8970.2%0.9%217,815
Oct 21, 20253560+0+0356+00.2%0.0%212,465
Oct 14, 20253560+356-97356+4530.2%0.0%210,976
Oct 7, 2025097+0-767-97+7670.0%0.1%210,064
Sep 30, 20250864+0+0-864+00.0%0.4%220,625

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 209,381 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

1815,204-5,023+0.1%+2.5%-2.4%-329

Producer Merchant

179,32525,027154,298+85.7%+11.9%+73.7%+9,420

Swap Dealers

15,854166,892-151,038+7.6%+79.7%-72.1%-9,337

Nonreportable

6,5944,8311,763+3.1%+2.3%+0.8%+246

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme. Managed Money is currently net short by 5,023 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Tco Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.