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Live CFTC

S&P 500 Consolidated - Chicago Mercantile Exchange

13874+
IndicesTFF

Signal state

Bearish-29

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+40 pts

Target Exposure

-29%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
S&P 500 Consolidated - Chicago Mercantile ExchangeLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max207,305615,460+43,480+150,537-230,392+111,2698.5%29.7%2,504,363
Min110,713388,220-44,532-84,947-477,391-173,6525.7%19.9%1,897,311
13 Per. Avg144,096516,474+2,517+1,134-372,378+1,3837.1%25.3%2,041,516
May 26, 2026149,204608,619-14,720+42,383-459,415-57,1037.0%28.6%2,124,493
May 19, 2026163,924566,236+15,783-11,260-402,312+27,0437.8%27.0%2,097,761
May 12, 2026148,141577,496+7,014+37,564-429,355-30,5507.1%27.8%2,078,428
May 5, 2026141,127539,932+20,311+18,503-398,805+1,8087.0%26.9%2,008,969
Apr 28, 2026120,816521,429-5,643-10,957-400,613+5,3146.1%26.3%1,982,697
Apr 21, 2026126,459532,386+2,227-6,371-405,927+8,5986.4%26.8%1,985,777
Apr 14, 2026124,232538,757-23,115+150,537-414,525-173,6526.3%27.2%1,980,961
Apr 7, 2026147,347388,220-14,033-3,552-240,873-10,4817.6%19.9%1,948,342
Mar 31, 2026161,380391,772+26,322-84,947-230,392+111,2698.2%19.9%1,966,743
Mar 24, 2026135,058476,719-9,984-15,900-341,661+5,9167.1%25.1%1,897,311
Mar 17, 2026145,042492,619-9,643-20,162-347,577+10,5196.2%20.9%2,359,720
Mar 10, 2026154,685512,781-1,149-54,411-358,096+53,2627.6%25.4%2,023,096
Mar 3, 2026155,834567,192+39,353-26,680-411,358+66,0337.5%27.2%2,085,416
Feb 24, 2026116,481593,872-1,096+9,930-477,391-11,0265.7%29.1%2,038,108
Feb 17, 2026117,577583,942-3,573+38,058-466,365-41,6315.9%29.4%1,987,373
Feb 10, 2026121,150545,884-7,806-32,593-424,734+24,7876.2%27.9%1,955,058
Feb 3, 2026128,956578,477+17,228+39,346-449,521-22,1186.6%29.7%1,949,539
Jan 27, 2026111,728539,131-4,159+5,462-427,403-9,6215.8%28.1%1,915,990
Jan 20, 2026115,887533,669+5,174-23,555-417,782+28,7296.0%27.5%1,944,353
Jan 13, 2026110,713557,224-20,424+10,733-446,511-31,1575.8%29.0%1,923,938
Jan 6, 2026131,137546,491-14,390+34,335-415,354-48,7256.7%27.9%1,959,833
Dec 30, 2025145,527512,156-17,246-21,784-366,629+4,5387.5%26.3%1,949,403
Dec 23, 2025162,773533,940-44,532-62,012-371,167+17,4808.5%27.8%1,923,191
Dec 16, 2025207,305595,952+43,480-16,635-388,647+60,1158.3%23.8%2,504,363
Dec 9, 2025163,825612,587-10,948-2,873-448,762-8,0757.5%28.2%2,172,273
Dec 2, 2025174,773615,460+0+0-440,687+08.3%29.3%2,102,168

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 2,124,493 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

149,204608,619-459,415+7.0%+28.6%-21.6%-57,103

Asset Manager

1,208,046201,5441,006,502+56.9%+9.5%+47.4%-1,666

Dealer Intermediary

166,394836,810-670,416+7.8%+39.4%-31.6%+38,143

Nonreportable

276,082172,791103,291+13.0%+8.1%+4.9%+8,469

Other Reportables

74,25954,22120,038+3.5%+2.5%+0.9%+12,157

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 459,415 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for S&P 500 Consolidated - Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Replay summary

Constructive bearish regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.