NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Polkadot - Coinbase Derivatives, Llc

169LM1
RatesTFF

Signal state

Bullish+37

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+9 pts

Target Exposure

+37%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Polkadot - Coinbase Derivatives, LlcLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max4252,870+391+659234+1,20439.6%95.7%3,092
Min00-68-1,148-2,870-6590.0%0.0%724
13 Per. Avg102545+30-44-443+759.9%43.2%1,100
Dec 23, 2025425191+0-177234+17739.6%17.8%1,072
Dec 16, 2025425368+391+36857+2335.6%30.9%1,192
Dec 2, 2025340-68+034-684.5%0.0%758
Nov 25, 20251020-41+0102-419.2%0.0%1,110
Nov 18, 20251430+70-27143+9717.7%0.0%806
Nov 10, 20257327+2-28846+29010.1%3.7%724
Oct 21, 202571315+71-1,133-244+1,2048.2%36.4%866
Aug 26, 202501,448+0+467-1,448-4670.0%92.6%1,564
Aug 12, 20250981+0+54-981-540.0%85.5%1,147
Aug 5, 20250927-48-246-927+1980.0%77.4%1,198
Jul 22, 2025481,173+48+427-1,125-3793.5%84.8%1,383
Feb 25, 20250746+0-159-746+1590.0%64.1%1,163
Feb 18, 20250905-30+139-905-1690.0%68.6%1,319
Feb 11, 202530766+30-300-736+3302.6%67.4%1,136
Feb 4, 202501,066+0-165-1,066+1650.0%84.5%1,261
Jan 28, 202501,231+0-156-1,231+1560.0%72.2%1,706
Jan 21, 202501,387+0-64-1,387+640.0%79.0%1,756
Jan 14, 202501,451+0+541-1,451-5410.0%77.9%1,862
Jan 7, 20250910+0-1,148-910+1,1480.0%69.4%1,312
Dec 24, 202402,058+0-812-2,058+8120.0%90.7%2,269
Dec 17, 202402,870+0+543-2,870-5430.0%92.8%3,092
Dec 10, 202402,327+0+659-2,327-6590.0%93.3%2,495
Dec 3, 202401,668+0+0-1,668+00.0%95.7%1,743

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Dec 23, 2025(Latest)
Open interest: 1,072 contractsWeek 1 of 23
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

425191234+39.6%+17.8%+21.8%+177

Other Reportables

370795-425+34.5%+74.2%-39.6%-178

Nonreportable

27786191+25.8%+8.0%+17.8%+1

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bullish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bullish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded long.

Current positioning

Bullish positioning is building. Traders are heavily crowded long. Leveraged Funds is currently net long by 234 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Polkadot - Coinbase Derivatives, Llc.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. Bullish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.