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Live CFTC

Ngpl Midcont Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div

0233AY
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bearish-29

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-29%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ngpl Midcont Basis - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max82,07473,459+77,407+62,34910,767+17,34885.6%76.5%99,578
Min0217-82,074-73,242-6,833-14,4580.0%0.2%87,074
13 Per. Avg41,57239,186-5,656-4,6532,386-1,00345.2%42.6%93,967
Mar 24, 202604,708+0+582-4,708-5820.0%4.7%99,247
Mar 17, 202604,126+0+672-4,126-6720.0%4.3%95,900
Mar 10, 202603,454+0+211-3,454-2110.0%3.6%94,705
Mar 3, 202603,243+0+3,026-3,243-3,0260.0%3.3%99,578
Feb 24, 20260217-82,074-73,242-217-8,8320.0%0.2%97,588
Feb 17, 202682,07473,459+1,836+2,7208,615-88485.3%76.3%96,244
Feb 10, 202680,23870,739+2,887+169,499+2,87184.9%74.9%94,501
Feb 3, 202677,35170,723-84-1956,628+11183.3%76.2%92,827
Jan 27, 202677,43570,918+1,286+1,6716,517-38583.5%76.5%92,739
Dec 30, 202576,14969,247+76,084+62,3496,902+13,73583.2%75.7%91,480
Dec 23, 2025656,898-73,581-59,123-6,833-14,4580.1%7.6%91,052
Dec 2, 202573,64666,021+174+3607,625-18683.4%74.8%88,286
Nov 25, 202573,47265,661-62+4587,811-52084.0%75.1%87,420
Nov 18, 202573,53465,203-3,302-1,4408,331-1,86284.5%74.9%87,074
Nov 4, 202576,83666,643-660-8610,193-57484.7%73.4%90,752
Oct 28, 202577,49666,729+77,407+60,05910,767+17,34885.6%73.7%90,538
Sep 30, 2025896,670+0+214-6,581-2140.1%7.4%90,500
Sep 23, 2025896,456+0+642-6,367-6420.1%7.2%89,902
Sep 16, 2025895,814-151+0-5,725-1510.1%6.5%88,955
Sep 9, 20252405,814-120-150-5,574+300.3%6.6%87,893
Sep 2, 20253605,964+90+0-5,604+900.4%6.4%93,443
Aug 26, 20252705,964+3+1,420-5,694-1,4170.3%6.4%93,109
Aug 19, 20252674,544-10,683-2,151-4,277-8,5320.3%5.0%90,573
Aug 12, 202510,9506,695-95-2,9064,255+2,81112.3%7.5%89,049
Aug 5, 202511,0459,601-450-7531,444+30312.4%10.8%88,960
Jul 29, 202511,49510,354+0+01,141+012.1%10.9%95,073

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 99,247 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

04,708-4,708+0.0%+4.7%-4.7%-582

Producer Merchant

86,68169,75516,926+87.3%+70.3%+17.1%+4,601

Swap Dealers

07,226-7,226+0.0%+7.3%-7.3%+362

Nonreportable

8,72413,716-4,992+8.8%+13.8%-5.0%-4,381

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded short.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Traders are heavily crowded short. Managed Money is currently net short by 4,708 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Ngpl Midcont Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Constructive bearish regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.