NEUTRAL
VIX
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Live CFTC

Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S.

244041
RatesTFF

Signal state

Neutral-11

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+40 pts

Target Exposure

-11%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S.Leveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max54,94684,299+9,107+23,28814,028+29,34612.9%18.0%578,222
Min27,20236,444-14,175-24,377-45,219-22,7075.9%6.9%395,552
13 Per. Avg36,36652,632-1,200-40-16,266-1,1607.9%11.2%467,002
May 26, 202630,24055,175+2,535-2,864-24,935+5,3996.4%11.6%474,956
May 19, 202627,70558,039+503+14,051-30,334-13,5485.9%12.3%470,347
May 12, 202627,20243,988-3,522+7,060-16,786-10,5826.0%9.8%451,198
May 5, 202630,72436,928-2,889-13,652-6,204+10,7636.8%8.1%454,281
Apr 28, 202633,61350,580-2,436+4,800-16,967-7,2367.3%11.0%458,047
Apr 21, 202636,04945,780-3,266+7,280-9,731-10,5468.0%10.1%453,706
Apr 14, 202639,31538,500+4,969-24,377815+29,3468.5%8.4%460,246
Apr 7, 202634,34662,877-4,734-21,422-28,531+16,6887.0%12.8%491,348
Mar 31, 202639,08084,299+581+23,288-45,219-22,7078.3%18.0%468,971
Mar 24, 202638,49961,011-1,765+102-22,512-1,8678.4%13.3%458,467
Mar 17, 202640,26460,909-507+15,695-20,645-16,2027.0%10.5%578,222
Mar 10, 202640,77145,214-14,175+4,296-4,443-18,4719.6%10.6%426,698
Mar 3, 202654,94640,918+9,107-14,77414,028+23,88112.9%9.6%424,533
Feb 24, 202645,83955,692+4,195+11,133-9,853-6,93810.8%13.1%424,108
Feb 17, 202641,64444,559+1,422+7,925-2,915-6,50310.2%10.9%408,622
Feb 10, 202640,22236,634-12,942-7,2693,588-5,67310.2%9.3%395,552
Feb 3, 202653,16443,903+2,885-6,3069,261+9,19112.9%10.6%412,849
Jan 27, 202650,27950,209-635-10,47570+9,84011.9%11.8%423,671
Jan 20, 202650,91460,684+3,846+8,803-9,770-4,95711.9%14.2%428,290
Jan 13, 202647,06851,881+199-274-4,813+47311.4%12.6%411,543
Jan 6, 202646,86952,155+5,897+4,939-5,286+95811.3%12.6%413,528
Dec 30, 202540,97247,216+216+9,096-6,244-8,8809.8%11.3%416,544
Dec 23, 202540,75638,120+1,945+1,6762,636+26910.0%9.4%407,443
Dec 16, 202538,81136,444+1,933-2,4002,367+4,3337.3%6.9%531,007
Dec 9, 202536,87838,844+2,007-5,784-1,966+7,7918.2%8.6%448,873
Dec 2, 202534,87144,628+0+0-9,757+07.8%10.0%444,636

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 474,956 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

30,24055,175-24,935+6.4%+11.6%-5.3%+5,399

Asset Manager

329,71990,412239,307+69.4%+19.0%+50.4%+7,391

Dealer Intermediary

34,377254,734-220,357+7.2%+53.6%-46.4%-12,623

Nonreportable

13,1686,3846,784+2.8%+1.3%+1.4%-167

Other Reportables

7641,563-799+0.2%+0.3%-0.2%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish pressure is fading. This week's COT print is less bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme.

Current positioning

Bearish pressure is fading. Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 24,935 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Msci Eafe - Ice Futures U.S..

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Bearish pressure is fading. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.