NEUTRAL
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Live CFTC

Miso In. Day-Ahead Peak - Ice Futures Energy Div

0643AZ
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-14

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+40 pts

Target Exposure

-14%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Miso In. Day-Ahead Peak - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max6351,867+300+414-133+2402.9%8.4%23,658
Min0248-89-195-1,257-3000.0%1.4%16,241
13 Per. Avg220946+39+124-727-851.0%4.8%18,838
May 26, 20266351,867+25+0-1,232+252.7%7.9%23,658
May 19, 20266101,867+0+260-1,257-2602.7%8.4%22,313
May 12, 20266101,607+159+25-997+1342.9%7.7%20,787
May 5, 20264511,582+300+414-1,131-1142.1%7.3%21,702
Apr 28, 20261511,168+151+223-1,017-720.8%6.3%18,423
Apr 21, 20260945+0+300-945-3000.0%5.3%17,747
Apr 14, 20260645-1+55-645-560.0%3.9%16,701
Apr 7, 20261590+0-20-589+200.0%3.3%17,906
Mar 31, 20261610-89+35-609-1240.0%3.5%17,695
Mar 24, 202690575+0+260-485-2600.5%3.4%16,745
Mar 17, 202690315+0+67-225-670.5%1.9%16,469
Mar 10, 202690248-35-35-158+00.5%1.5%16,241
Mar 3, 2026125283+0+25-158-250.7%1.5%18,513
Feb 24, 2026125258+125-115-133+2400.7%1.4%18,427
Feb 17, 20260373+0+0-373+00.0%2.1%17,468
Feb 10, 20260373+0-195-373+1950.0%2.2%17,157
Feb 3, 20260568+0+78-568-780.0%2.9%19,257
Jan 27, 20260490+0-70-490+700.0%2.6%19,167
Jan 20, 20260560+0+0-560+00.0%3.3%17,134
Jan 13, 20260560+0-165-560+1650.0%3.3%16,958
Jan 6, 20260725+0+0-725+00.0%4.1%17,729
Dec 30, 20250725+0+0-725+00.0%4.2%17,442
Dec 23, 20250725+0+0-725+00.0%4.2%17,302
Dec 16, 20250725+0+0-725+00.0%4.3%16,872
Dec 9, 20250725+0-50-725+500.0%4.3%16,658
Dec 2, 20250775+0+0-775+00.0%4.6%16,933

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 23,658 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

6351,867-1,232+2.7%+7.9%-5.2%+25

Producer Merchant

19,1619,7589,403+81.0%+41.3%+39.8%+1,711

Swap Dealers

6004,948-4,348+2.5%+20.9%-18.4%-1,250

Other Reportables

2914,409-4,118+1.2%+18.6%-17.4%-513

Nonreportable

419124295+1.8%+0.5%+1.3%+27

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish pressure is fading. This week's COT print is less bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded short.

Current positioning

Bearish pressure is fading. Traders are heavily crowded short. Managed Money is currently net short by 1,232 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Miso In. Day-Ahead Peak - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Bearish pressure is fading. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.