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Live CFTC

Micro Sol - Chicago Mercantile Exchange

177742
RatesTFF

Signal state

Bearish-27

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-27%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Micro Sol - Chicago Mercantile ExchangeLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max3,6795,642+2,016+2,650318+72066.8%94.7%5,958
Min402900-1,843-2,212-2,060-1,05017.6%54.6%1,648
13 Per. Avg1,6153,223+7+49-1,608-4241.3%86.4%3,668
Feb 24, 20268842,944+194+497-2,060-30324.9%82.7%3,558
Feb 17, 20266902,447+127-56-1,757+18322.0%78.0%3,138
Feb 10, 20265632,503-1,268-1,156-1,940-11217.6%78.4%3,194
Jan 27, 20261,8313,659+104-7-1,828+11145.6%91.1%4,018
Jan 20, 20261,7273,666-225+359-1,939-58444.4%94.1%3,894
Jan 13, 20261,9523,307-1,628-2,212-1,355+58455.1%93.4%3,540
Dec 23, 20253,5805,519-99-123-1,939+2461.2%94.4%5,849
Dec 16, 20253,6795,642+2,016+2,650-1,963-63461.8%94.7%5,958
Dec 9, 20251,6632,992+91+522-1,329-43149.0%88.2%3,393
Dec 2, 20251,5722,470+716+137-898+57956.2%88.3%2,798
Nov 25, 20258562,333+352+785-1,477-43332.2%87.7%2,661
Nov 18, 20255041,548-994-1,324-1,044+33021.3%65.3%2,372
Nov 10, 20251,4982,872+707+566-1,374+14145.2%86.7%3,312
Nov 4, 20257912,306-1,490-1,218-1,515-27228.3%82.4%2,798
Oct 28, 20252,2813,524-509+541-1,243-1,05051.5%79.5%4,432
Oct 21, 20252,7902,983+336-384-193+72059.7%63.8%4,673
Sep 30, 20252,4543,367-337-113-913-22463.9%87.7%3,838
Sep 23, 20252,7913,480+1,342+1,561-689-21966.8%83.3%4,180
Sep 16, 20251,4491,919+531+521-470+1051.7%68.5%2,802
Sep 9, 20259181,398+516+498-480+1841.8%63.7%2,194
Sep 2, 2025402900-1,843-1,027-498-81624.4%54.6%1,648
Aug 26, 20252,2451,927+0+0318+064.7%55.5%3,470

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Feb 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 3,558 contractsWeek 1 of 22
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

8842,944-2,060+24.9%+82.7%-57.9%-303

Dealer Intermediary

1,2831001,183+36.1%+2.8%+33.3%+19

Other Reportables

584150434+16.4%+4.2%+12.2%+176

Nonreportable

776363413+21.8%+10.2%+11.6%+108

Asset Manager

30030+0.8%+0.0%+0.8%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded short.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Traders are heavily crowded short. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 2,060 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Micro Sol - Chicago Mercantile Exchange.

Replay summary

Constructive bearish regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.