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Live CFTC

Hsc Fin Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div

023398
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-14

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-14%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Hsc Fin Basis - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max5,766197,117+1,701+25,323-129,446+33,9220.7%24.8%889,907
Min0129,446-2,465-34,141-194,378-25,7730.0%15.6%736,487
13 Per. Avg61147,748-47-2,633-147,687+2,5860.0%18.1%820,511
Mar 24, 20260139,820+0+2,612-139,820-2,6120.0%15.7%889,907
Mar 17, 20260137,208+0-1,349-137,208+1,3490.0%15.8%868,792
Mar 10, 20260138,557+0-12,435-138,557+12,4350.0%16.4%846,331
Mar 3, 20260150,992+0+8,119-150,992-8,1190.0%17.3%870,511
Feb 24, 20260142,873+0+13,427-142,873-13,4270.0%17.0%842,427
Feb 17, 20260129,446+0-16,028-129,446+16,0280.0%15.6%832,199
Feb 10, 20260145,474+0-4,908-145,474+4,9080.0%17.9%814,578
Feb 3, 20260150,382+0+6,664-150,382-6,6640.0%18.0%836,015
Jan 27, 20260143,718+0+855-143,718-8550.0%18.3%783,802
Jan 20, 20260142,863-541-26,158-142,863+25,6170.0%18.6%770,061
Jan 13, 2026541169,021+541+3,416-168,480-2,8750.1%22.4%756,345
Jan 6, 20260165,605-249+837-165,605-1,0860.0%22.3%742,476
Dec 30, 2025249164,768-364-9,280-164,519+8,9160.0%20.3%813,198
Dec 23, 2025613174,048-450+25,323-173,435-25,7730.1%21.8%799,197
Dec 16, 20251,063148,725-2,465-451-147,662-2,0140.1%19.1%777,373
Dec 9, 20253,528149,176-2,238-16,186-145,648+13,9480.5%19.6%761,116
Dec 2, 20255,766165,362+645+12,682-159,596-12,0370.7%19.7%837,763
Nov 25, 20255,121152,680-336+6,047-147,559-6,3830.6%18.5%826,395
Nov 18, 20255,457146,633+1,701-866-141,176+2,5670.7%18.4%796,876
Nov 10, 20253,756147,499+1,236-31,018-143,743+32,2540.5%19.1%772,711
Nov 4, 20252,520178,517-240+7,562-175,997-7,8020.3%21.2%841,710
Oct 28, 20252,760170,955+240+11,072-168,195-10,8320.3%20.8%822,983
Oct 21, 20252,520159,883+0+3,605-157,363-3,6050.3%20.3%788,383
Oct 14, 20252,520156,278+0-6,698-153,758+6,6980.3%20.4%764,997
Oct 7, 20252,520162,976-219-34,141-160,456+33,9220.3%22.1%736,487
Sep 30, 20252,739197,117+0+0-194,378+00.3%24.8%794,163

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 889,907 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

0139,820-139,820+0.0%+15.7%-15.7%-2,612

Swap Dealers

187,564114,29573,269+21.1%+12.8%+8.2%+4,835

Producer Merchant

622,480552,95669,524+70.0%+62.1%+7.8%-1,413

Other Reportables

1,7897,516-5,727+0.2%+0.8%-0.6%-1,240

Nonreportable

6,8714,1172,754+0.8%+0.5%+0.3%+430

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Managed Money is currently net short by 139,820 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Hsc Fin Basis - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.