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Live CFTC

Fuel Oil-3% Usgc/3.5% Fob Rdam - Ice Futures Energy Div

02141C
EnergyDisaggregated

Signal state

Bearish-34

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-34%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Fuel Oil-3% Usgc/3.5% Fob Rdam - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max6,3431,710+6,343+1,4105,484+5,62441.2%9.2%21,034
Min00-6,343-609-1,710-5,7340.0%0.0%14,929
13 Per. Avg348364+0+123-17-1231.8%2.0%18,654
Mar 24, 202601,710-225+300-1,710-5250.0%9.2%18,534
Mar 17, 20262251,410-400+0-1,185-4001.2%7.8%18,201
Mar 10, 20266251,410+0+1,410-785-1,4103.5%7.9%17,913
Mar 3, 20266250+10+0625+103.5%0.0%17,831
Feb 24, 20266150+0+0615+03.0%0.0%20,606
Feb 17, 20266150+0+0615+03.0%0.0%20,168
Feb 10, 20266150+15+0615+153.1%0.0%19,515
Feb 3, 20266000+0-30600+303.2%0.0%18,566
Jan 27, 202660030+600+0570+6002.9%0.1%21,034
Jan 20, 2026030+0+0-30+00.0%0.2%19,194
Jan 13, 2026030+0-20-30+200.0%0.2%18,034
Jan 6, 2026050+0-15-50+150.0%0.3%14,946
Dec 30, 2025065+0-50-65+500.0%0.4%17,962
Dec 23, 20250115+0-60-115+600.0%0.6%17,944
Dec 16, 20250175+0-75-175+750.0%1.0%16,773
Dec 9, 20250250-6,343-609-250-5,7340.0%1.6%16,165
Dec 2, 20256,343859+6,343+7195,484+5,62441.2%5.6%15,380
Nov 25, 20250140+0+35-140-350.0%0.8%17,833
Nov 18, 20250105+0+25-105-250.0%0.6%16,369
Nov 10, 2025080+0-25-80+250.0%0.5%15,307
Nov 4, 20250105-220+105-105-3250.0%0.7%14,929
Oct 28, 20252200-150+0220-1501.2%0.0%18,677
Oct 21, 20253700-5+0370-52.0%0.0%18,262
Oct 14, 20253750+100+0375+1002.1%0.0%17,868
Oct 7, 20252750+100+0275+1001.6%0.0%17,043
Sep 30, 20251750+0+0175+00.9%0.0%18,881

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 18,534 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

01,710-1,710+0.0%+9.2%-9.2%-525

Swap Dealers

6,4941,0885,406+35.0%+5.9%+29.2%+66

Other Reportables

8394,928-4,089+4.5%+26.6%-22.1%-1,714

Producer Merchant

10,0049,689315+54.0%+52.3%+1.7%+2,173

Nonreportable

81378+0.4%+0.0%+0.4%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded short.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Traders are heavily crowded short. Managed Money is currently net short by 1,710 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Fuel Oil-3% Usgc/3.5% Fob Rdam - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Constructive bearish regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.