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Live CFTC

Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy Div

0643IK
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+34

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+46 pts

Target Exposure

+34%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max98,3142,693+5,125+33996,377+4,78645.4%1.2%220,125
Min73,0291,488-4,500-60970,964-3,97635.0%0.7%207,547
13 Per. Avg94,4642,098+444-5692,366+50043.9%1.0%215,349
May 26, 202695,1331,529-20+4193,604-6143.6%0.7%218,008
May 19, 202695,1531,488+3,861-793,665+3,86844.0%0.7%216,401
May 12, 202691,2921,495-3,344-59089,797-2,75442.6%0.7%214,070
May 5, 202694,6362,085-2,361+11192,551-2,47243.0%0.9%220,125
Apr 28, 202696,9971,974-1,317+3795,023-1,35444.3%0.9%219,212
Apr 21, 202698,3141,937+2,193+10196,377+2,09245.4%0.9%216,670
Apr 14, 202696,1211,836+704-60994,285+1,31345.1%0.9%213,253
Apr 7, 202695,4172,445+1,810+2592,972+1,78544.1%1.1%216,428
Mar 31, 202693,6072,420+438-391,187+44143.7%1.1%214,333
Mar 24, 202693,1692,423+1,105-16090,746+1,26543.7%1.1%213,241
Mar 17, 202692,0642,583-2,076+2889,481-2,10443.6%1.2%210,904
Mar 10, 202694,1402,555+2,155+5791,585+2,09844.7%1.2%210,471
Mar 3, 202691,9852,498+2,625+24589,487+2,38042.5%1.1%216,417
Feb 24, 202689,3602,253+570+3887,107+53241.9%1.1%213,020
Feb 17, 202688,7902,215+1,087-13286,575+1,21941.9%1.1%211,688
Feb 10, 202687,7032,347+195+15685,356+3941.6%1.1%210,970
Feb 3, 202687,5082,191+4,040-50285,317+4,54240.1%1.0%218,173
Jan 27, 202683,4682,693-581+11980,775-70038.6%1.2%216,366
Jan 20, 202684,0492,574+5,125+33981,475+4,78638.9%1.2%216,251
Jan 13, 202678,9242,235+3,343+1776,689+3,32637.1%1.1%212,532
Jan 6, 202675,5812,218+1,806-17473,363+1,98035.6%1.0%212,282
Dec 30, 202573,7752,392-163-1671,383-14735.0%1.1%210,500
Dec 23, 202573,9382,408+263+19871,530+6535.2%1.1%210,162
Dec 16, 202573,6752,210+646+14571,465+50135.3%1.1%208,699
Dec 9, 202573,0292,065-4,500-52470,964-3,97635.2%1.0%207,547
Dec 2, 202577,5292,589+0+074,940+036.1%1.2%214,842

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 218,008 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

95,1331,52993,604+43.6%+0.7%+42.9%-61

Producer Merchant

83,713155,176-71,463+38.4%+71.2%-32.8%-991

Swap Dealers

2,74134,000-31,259+1.3%+15.6%-14.3%+1,569

Other Reportables

12,5613,9658,596+5.8%+1.8%+3.9%-531

Nonreportable

858336522+0.4%+0.1%+0.2%+14

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded long.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Traders are heavily crowded long. Managed Money is currently net long by 93,604 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro currents are clearly supportive for Ercot North 345Kv Hub Rt 7X8 - Ice Futures Energy Div, with the broader regime reinforcing the current bias.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.