Ercot North 345K Rt Offpk Dly - Ice Futures Energy Div
0643A7Signal state
8-Week Trend
Generated market from CFTC archives.
Signal layer
Score breakdown
How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated
Macro Score
+46 ptsTarget Exposure
+28%Market History
Net Positioning History
Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.
| Ercot North 345K Rt Offpk Dly - Ice Futures Energy Div — Managed Money — 6 Month Positioning Report | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Report Date | Long Positions | Short Positions | Change in Longs | Change in Shorts | Net Positions | Net Change | % OI Long | % OI Short | Open Interest |
| Max | 2,895 | 912 | +2,727 | +272 | 2,703 | +3,447 | 39.3% | 28.7% | 30,798 |
| Min | 48 | 0 | -2,751 | -720 | -744 | -2,935 | 0.3% | 0.0% | 2,832 |
| 13 Per. Avg | 985 | 172 | +63 | -65 | 813 | +128 | 16.3% | 2.9% | 8,825 |
| May 5, 2026 | 984 | 64 | +64 | -32 | 920 | +96 | 20.8% | 1.4% | 4,736 |
| Apr 28, 2026 | 920 | 96 | -256 | +48 | 824 | -304 | 16.2% | 1.7% | 5,688 |
| Apr 21, 2026 | 1,176 | 48 | -624 | -24 | 1,128 | -600 | 21.6% | 0.9% | 5,432 |
| Apr 14, 2026 | 1,800 | 72 | +208 | +72 | 1,728 | +136 | 37.6% | 1.5% | 4,784 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | 1,592 | 0 | +1,392 | +0 | 1,592 | +1,392 | 39.3% | 0.0% | 4,048 |
| Feb 10, 2026 | 200 | 0 | -392 | -176 | 200 | -216 | 4.1% | 0.0% | 4,880 |
| Feb 3, 2026 | 592 | 176 | +32 | -168 | 416 | +200 | 11.1% | 3.3% | 5,352 |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 560 | 344 | -768 | +168 | 216 | -936 | 8.5% | 5.2% | 6,616 |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 1,328 | 176 | +768 | -304 | 1,152 | +1,072 | 22.7% | 3.0% | 5,856 |
| Jan 28, 2025 | 560 | 480 | +512 | +272 | 80 | +240 | 19.8% | 17.0% | 2,832 |
| Feb 23, 2021 | 48 | 208 | -96 | -168 | -160 | +72 | 0.3% | 1.4% | 15,438 |
| Feb 16, 2021 | 144 | 376 | -2,751 | +184 | -232 | -2,935 | 0.8% | 2.1% | 18,262 |
| Mar 3, 2020 | 2,895 | 192 | +2,727 | -720 | 2,703 | +3,447 | 9.4% | 0.6% | 30,798 |
| Jan 16, 2018 | 168 | 912 | +0 | +0 | -744 | +0 | 5.3% | 28.7% | 3,176 |
COT report
Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week
Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.
| Trader type | Long | Short | Net | Long % OI | Short % OI | Net % OI | WoW Δ Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Managed Money Reference group used for the main bias model | 984 | 64 | 920 | +20.8% | +1.4% | +19.4% | +96 |
Producer Merchant | 1,416 | 2,872 | -1,456 | +29.9% | +60.6% | -30.7% | -192 |
Swap Dealers | 320 | 0 | 320 | +6.8% | +0.0% | +6.8% | +168 |
Nonreportable | 904 | 608 | 296 | +19.1% | +12.8% | +6.3% | +304 |
Other Reportables | 464 | 544 | -80 | +9.8% | +11.5% | -1.7% | -376 |
Interpretation layer
Why the terminal reads this market the way it does
The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.
Positioning pressure
Positioning is drifting back toward balance. This week's COT print is more bullish than the prior week.
Trend check
Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.
Macro check
Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.
Crowding
Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.
Current positioning
Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Managed Money is currently net long by 920 contracts.
Macro regime
Macro currents are clearly supportive for Ercot North 345K Rt Offpk Dly - Ice Futures Energy Div, with the broader regime reinforcing the current bias.
Replay summary
Constructive bullish regime. Positioning is drifting back toward balance. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.
Risk layer
Veto reasons and caution flags
These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.