NEUTRAL
VIX
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Live CFTC

Crude Oil

CL
EnergyDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-16

Global growth barometer where positioning can swing quickly with macro shocks.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+25 pts

Target Exposure

-16%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Crude OilManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max226,150163,135+20,701+17,154148,985+40,1707.9%7.0%3,138,821
Min133,71056,042-13,650-35,438-29,425-23,0125.7%1.8%2,267,166
13 Per. Avg211,75177,177+843-509134,574+1,3527.2%2.6%2,962,049
May 26, 2026202,76487,002-13,650+9,362115,762-23,0127.4%3.2%2,742,161
May 19, 2026216,41477,640+2,286-6,905138,774+9,1917.8%2.8%2,778,530
May 12, 2026214,12884,545+89+2,462129,583-2,3737.1%2.8%3,032,488
May 5, 2026214,03982,083-5,611-2,066131,956-3,5457.1%2.7%3,009,504
Apr 28, 2026219,65084,149-827+7,073135,501-7,9007.6%2.9%2,893,767
Apr 21, 2026220,47777,076-5,673-4,831143,401-8427.9%2.8%2,804,594
Apr 14, 2026226,15081,907+3,059-3,346144,243+6,4057.3%2.6%3,085,567
Apr 7, 2026223,09185,253+8,334+1,213137,838+7,1217.1%2.7%3,128,586
Mar 31, 2026214,75784,040-1,114+17,154130,717-18,2687.1%2.8%3,039,583
Mar 24, 2026215,87166,886+2,709+1,585148,985+1,1247.3%2.3%2,952,171
Mar 17, 2026213,16265,301+20,701+9,259147,861+11,4427.1%2.2%3,011,766
Mar 10, 2026192,46156,042+12,667-15,331136,419+27,9986.1%1.8%3,138,821
Mar 3, 2026179,79471,373-12,015-22,249108,421+10,2346.2%2.5%2,889,103
Feb 24, 2026191,80993,622+9,226-7,74298,187+16,9687.0%3.4%2,724,561
Feb 17, 2026182,583101,364+5,274+10,36981,219-5,0957.1%3.9%2,577,058
Feb 10, 2026177,30990,995-1,037-6,97486,314+5,9376.6%3.4%2,680,183
Feb 3, 2026178,34697,969+6,915-10,47180,377+17,3866.6%3.6%2,688,721
Jan 27, 2026171,431108,440+3,010-6,54762,991+9,5576.6%4.2%2,585,126
Jan 20, 2026168,421114,987-59-10,98653,434+10,9276.9%4.7%2,438,338
Jan 13, 2026168,480125,973+17,047-2,88042,507+19,9276.7%5.0%2,533,712
Jan 6, 2026151,433128,853+2,413-45622,580+2,8696.4%5.4%2,382,115
Dec 30, 2025149,020129,309-1,594-3,63919,711+2,0456.5%5.6%2,295,914
Dec 23, 2025150,614132,948-289-6,86417,666+6,5756.6%5.9%2,267,166
Dec 16, 2025150,903139,812+12,461+12,11511,091+3466.5%6.0%2,322,931
Dec 9, 2025138,442127,697+4,732-35,43810,745+40,1706.0%5.5%2,308,356
Dec 2, 2025133,710163,135+0+0-29,425+05.7%7.0%2,335,339

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 2,742,161 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

202,76487,002115,762+7.4%+3.2%+4.2%-23,012

Swap Dealers

83,731744,069-660,338+3.0%+27.1%-24.1%+12,408

Producer Merchant

740,442359,922380,520+27.0%+13.1%+13.9%-5,928

Other Reportables

177,81753,607124,210+6.5%+1.9%+4.5%+9,460

Nonreportable

99,26959,42539,844+3.6%+2.2%+1.5%+7,071

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Managed Money is currently net long by 115,762 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Crude Oil.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.