NEUTRAL
VIX
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Live CFTC

Cardona - Coinbase Derivatives, Llc

174LM1
RatesTFF

Signal state

Neutral-20

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-20%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Cardona - Coinbase Derivatives, LlcLeveraged Funds — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max7225,077+476+1,69395+1,99728.3%98.3%5,404
Min0321-552-1,759-5,077-1,7000.0%18.6%1,099
13 Per. Avg2451,480-56-170-1,235+11512.5%71.3%1,986
Jan 20, 20260865-304-12-865-2920.0%74.6%1,159
Jan 13, 2026304877-125-25-573-10021.8%62.8%1,396
Jan 6, 2026429902+347+293-473+5428.3%59.4%1,518
Dec 30, 202582609-327-964-527+6377.5%55.4%1,099
Dec 23, 20254091,573+0-441-1,164+44118.8%72.2%2,179
Dec 16, 20254092,014-7+1,693-1,605-1,70017.2%84.6%2,381
Dec 9, 2025416321-87-91995+83224.1%18.6%1,724
Dec 2, 20255031,240+453-642-737+1,09526.1%64.3%1,929
Nov 25, 2025501,882+22-304-1,832+3262.3%87.6%2,148
Nov 18, 2025282,186+28+222-2,158-1941.2%90.9%2,406
Nov 10, 202501,964+0+364-1,964-3640.0%84.5%2,323
Nov 4, 202501,600-552-1,609-1,600+1,0570.0%83.5%1,915
Oct 28, 20255523,209-170+131-2,657-30115.2%88.1%3,642
Oct 21, 20257223,078+476-123-2,356+59919.8%84.6%3,640
Oct 14, 20252463,201+0-568-2,955+5686.9%89.5%3,576
Oct 7, 20252463,769+8+451-3,523-4435.9%90.3%4,172
Sep 30, 20252383,318+238-1,759-3,080+1,9976.3%87.8%3,781
Sep 23, 202505,077+0+716-5,077-7160.0%95.9%5,292
Sep 16, 202504,361+0+283-4,361-2830.0%90.2%4,837
Sep 9, 202504,078+0+354-4,078-3540.0%90.5%4,507
Sep 2, 202503,724-198-1,271-3,724+1,0730.0%88.0%4,233
Aug 26, 20251984,995+198+764-4,797-5663.7%92.4%5,404
Aug 19, 202504,231+0+146-4,231-1460.0%91.8%4,610
Aug 12, 202504,085+0+293-4,085-2930.0%97.0%4,212
Aug 5, 202503,792+0+20-3,792-200.0%98.3%3,857
Jul 29, 202503,772+0+0-3,772+00.0%96.7%3,900

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Jan 20, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 1,159 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Leveraged Funds

Reference group used for the main bias model

0865-865+0.0%+74.6%-74.6%-292

Other Reportables

904222682+78.0%+19.1%+58.8%+338

Nonreportable

25572183+22.0%+6.2%+15.8%-46

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

Bearish positioning is building. This week's COT print is more bearish than the prior week.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme.

Current positioning

Bearish positioning is building. Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme. Leveraged Funds is currently net short by 865 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Cardona - Coinbase Derivatives, Llc.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. Bearish positioning is building. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.