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Live CFTC

Calif Low Carbon Fuel Standard - Nodal Exchange

006NGF
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-21

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-21%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Calif Low Carbon Fuel Standard - Nodal ExchangeManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max44,09775+992+7544,097+1,06786.6%0.1%57,484
Min13,4830-24,721-7513,483-24,72132.9%0.0%26,865
13 Per. Avg13,5540+2+013,554+235.1%0.0%38,732
Nov 10, 202513,5680-4+013,568-433.0%0.0%41,115
Nov 4, 202513,5720+6+013,572+633.0%0.0%41,133
Oct 28, 202513,5660+7+013,566+732.9%0.0%41,212
Oct 21, 202513,5590-6+013,559-635.0%0.0%38,760
Oct 14, 202513,5650+10+013,565+1034.9%0.0%38,858
Oct 7, 202513,5550-4+013,555-434.9%0.0%38,859
Sep 30, 202513,5590+29+013,559+2934.8%0.0%38,910
Sep 23, 202513,5300-10+013,530-1034.8%0.0%38,871
Sep 16, 202513,5400-9+013,540-935.0%0.0%38,676
Sep 9, 202513,5490-1+013,549-137.0%0.0%36,639
Sep 2, 202513,5500+6+013,550+636.8%0.0%36,792
Aug 26, 202513,5440+2+013,544+236.8%0.0%36,764
Aug 19, 202513,5420+3+013,542+336.7%0.0%36,929
Aug 12, 202513,5390+6+013,539+636.6%0.0%37,026
Aug 5, 202513,5330+16+013,533+1636.6%0.0%36,991
Jul 29, 202513,5170+34+013,517+3437.7%0.0%35,860
Jul 22, 202513,4830-24,721+013,483-24,72150.2%0.0%26,865
Dec 17, 202438,2040+626+038,204+62678.9%0.0%48,405
Dec 10, 202437,5780-1,856+037,578-1,85673.3%0.0%51,291
Dec 3, 202439,4340+532+039,434+53272.8%0.0%54,189
Nov 26, 202438,9020-2,527+038,902-2,52772.7%0.0%53,535
Nov 19, 202441,4290-2,403+041,429-2,40372.8%0.0%56,903
Nov 12, 202443,8320-265+043,832-26576.3%0.0%57,484
Nov 5, 202444,0970+992-7544,097+1,06781.4%0.0%54,151
Oct 29, 202443,10575-553+7543,030-62883.0%0.1%51,940
Oct 22, 202443,6580+0+043,658+086.6%0.0%50,388

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Nov 10, 2025(Latest)
Open interest: 41,115 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

13,568013,568+33.0%+0.0%+33.0%-4

Producer Merchant

7,79923,391-15,592+19.0%+56.9%-37.9%+7

Swap Dealers

1,58301,583+3.9%+0.0%+3.9%+0

Other Reportables

48058422+1.2%+0.1%+1.0%-3

Nonreportable

11,64711,62720+28.3%+28.3%+0.1%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Traders are heavily crowded short.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Traders are heavily crowded short. Managed Money is currently net long by 13,568 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Calif Low Carbon Fuel Standard - Nodal Exchange.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Extreme crowding — squeeze risk elevated.
Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.