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Live CFTC

Calif Carbon Current Auction - Ice Futures Energy Div

0063DB
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-13

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+8 pts

Target Exposure

-13%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Calif Carbon Current Auction - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max1,10018,432+100+3,300-8,692+1,1752.1%27.8%68,520
Min09,692-1,000-1,175-18,432-3,3000.0%17.2%50,956
13 Per. Avg40815,812-85+288-15,404-3730.7%26.3%60,132
Mar 24, 2026018,432+0+130-18,432-1300.0%26.9%68,520
Mar 17, 2026018,302+0+1,265-18,302-1,2650.0%26.9%67,990
Mar 10, 2026017,037+0+885-17,037-8850.0%27.4%62,094
Mar 3, 2026016,152-200+797-16,152-9970.0%27.5%58,747
Feb 24, 202620015,355+0-200-15,155+2000.3%23.9%64,189
Feb 17, 202620015,555+0-95-15,355+950.3%24.8%62,729
Feb 10, 202620015,650+0+700-15,450-7000.3%25.5%61,298
Feb 3, 202620014,950+100+20-14,750+800.3%24.9%59,988
Jan 27, 202610014,930-1,000+0-14,830-1,0000.2%25.4%58,703
Jan 20, 20261,10014,930+0+0-13,830+01.9%26.4%56,615
Jan 13, 20261,10014,930+0+441-13,830-4412.0%27.2%54,950
Jan 6, 20261,10014,489+0-350-13,389+3502.1%27.6%52,419
Dec 30, 20251,10014,839+0+150-13,739-1502.1%27.8%53,469
Dec 23, 20251,10014,689+100+125-13,589-252.1%27.6%53,294
Dec 16, 20251,00014,564+0+3,300-13,564-3,3001.9%27.1%53,764
Dec 9, 20251,00011,264+0+244-10,264-2442.0%22.1%51,084
Dec 2, 20251,00011,020+0+482-10,020-4822.0%21.6%51,030
Nov 25, 20251,00010,538+0-15-9,538+151.6%17.2%61,292
Nov 18, 20251,00010,553+0-210-9,553+2101.7%17.4%60,642
Nov 10, 20251,00010,763+0-345-9,763+3451.7%18.3%58,754
Nov 4, 20251,00011,108+0+966-10,108-9661.7%19.2%57,989
Oct 28, 20251,00010,142+0-500-9,142+5001.7%17.3%58,456
Oct 21, 20251,00010,642+0+950-9,642-9501.7%18.2%58,356
Oct 14, 20251,0009,692+0-900-8,692+9001.9%18.4%52,756
Oct 7, 20251,00010,592+0-1,175-9,592+1,1751.9%20.0%53,036
Sep 30, 20251,00011,767+0+0-10,767+02.0%23.1%50,956

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

Mar 24, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 68,520 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

018,432-18,432+0.0%+26.9%-26.9%-130

Other Reportables

6,67034,578-27,908+9.7%+50.5%-40.7%+1,630

Producer Merchant

25,8582,66523,193+37.7%+3.9%+33.9%-2,380

Swap Dealers

32,5109,37423,136+47.4%+13.7%+33.8%+880

Nonreportable

11011+0.0%+0.0%+0.0%+0

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Crowding

Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Positioning looks balanced rather than crowded. Managed Money is currently net short by 18,432 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro conditions are mostly neutral for Calif Carbon Current Auction - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are mostly neutral right now.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.