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Live CFTC

Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy Div

0063EE
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Bullish+35

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+46 pts

Target Exposure

+35%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max112,60424,382+14,404+3,68197,118+13,44449.8%10.6%258,307
Min77,02011,067-6,317-2,01065,953-7,41841.9%5.8%160,534
13 Per. Avg109,30723,066+280-2786,241+30645.1%9.5%242,560
May 26, 2026108,30220,646-3,034-1,66887,656-1,36641.9%8.0%258,307
May 19, 2026111,33622,314-122-1,00389,022+88143.8%8.8%253,998
May 12, 2026111,45823,317-861+11088,141-97146.5%9.7%239,729
May 5, 2026112,31923,207-285+13589,112-42047.2%9.8%238,111
Apr 28, 2026112,60423,072+3,439-47289,532+3,91147.4%9.7%237,624
Apr 21, 2026109,16523,544+16-43585,621+45144.9%9.7%243,075
Apr 14, 2026109,14923,979+1,170-25285,170+1,42245.6%10.0%239,113
Apr 7, 2026107,97924,231-606-9183,748-51545.9%10.3%235,188
Mar 31, 2026108,58524,322-775-6084,263-71547.5%10.6%228,621
Mar 24, 2026109,36024,382+1,103+1,04584,978+5844.7%10.0%244,668
Mar 17, 2026108,25723,337+1,818+92984,920+88944.8%9.7%241,868
Mar 10, 2026106,43922,408+395+1,30784,031-91242.7%9.0%249,473
Mar 3, 2026106,04421,101+1,379+10984,943+1,27043.5%8.7%243,501
Feb 24, 2026104,66520,992-132+61583,673-74742.1%8.5%248,367
Feb 17, 2026104,79720,377-147+2,07484,420-2,22143.3%8.4%242,213
Feb 10, 2026104,94418,303+775+1,92686,641-1,15144.2%7.7%237,456
Feb 3, 2026104,16916,377+1,953+1,53187,792+42245.1%7.1%230,961
Jan 27, 2026102,21614,846-6,317+1,10187,370-7,41842.8%6.2%238,974
Jan 20, 2026108,53313,745-1,689+64194,788-2,33047.3%6.0%229,617
Jan 13, 2026110,22213,104+2,017-75197,118+2,76848.5%5.8%227,447
Jan 6, 2026108,20513,855+749-2,01094,350+2,75949.7%6.4%217,763
Dec 30, 2025107,45615,865+963-33491,591+1,29749.8%7.4%215,593
Dec 23, 2025106,49316,199+8,246+49190,294+7,75549.0%7.5%217,134
Dec 16, 202598,24715,708+14,404+96082,539+13,44448.7%7.8%201,712
Dec 9, 202583,84314,748+6,823+3,68169,095+3,14248.0%8.5%174,561
Dec 2, 202577,02011,067+0+065,953+048.0%6.9%160,534

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 258,307 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

108,30220,64687,656+41.9%+8.0%+33.9%-1,366

Swap Dealers

11,15085,479-74,329+4.3%+33.1%-28.8%-2,333

Producer Merchant

48,61756,842-8,225+18.8%+22.0%-3.2%+1,416

Other Reportables

24,15229,262-5,110+9.3%+11.3%-2.0%+2,527

Nonreportable

1861788+0.1%+0.1%+0.0%-245

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bullish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Crowding

Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bullish. Crowding is elevated, so conviction is high but squeeze risk is rising. Managed Money is currently net long by 87,656 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro currents are clearly supportive for Calif Carbon All Vintage 2026 - Ice Futures Energy Div, with the broader regime reinforcing the current bias.

Replay summary

Constructive bullish regime. The market is leaning bullish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are supporting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.