NEUTRAL
VIX
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Live CFTC

Argus Far East Propane - Ice Futures Energy Div

066413
AgricultureDisaggregated

Signal state

Neutral-13

Generated market from CFTC archives.

Signal layer

Score breakdown

How the +100 to -100 conviction score is calculated

Macro Score

+40 pts

Target Exposure

-13%

Market History

Net Positioning History

Historical net positioning (Longs minus Shorts) for the reference trader group.

Compare Markets
Argus Far East Propane - Ice Futures Energy DivManaged Money — 6 Month Positioning Report
Report DateLong PositionsShort PositionsChange in LongsChange in ShortsNet PositionsNet Change% OI Long% OI ShortOpen Interest
Max9,8448,558+9,766+7,6312,213+2,13567.3%57.3%15,011
Min00-9,191-7,030-987-2,1610.0%0.0%12,716
13 Per. Avg944-52-103-35+520.1%0.3%13,811
May 26, 202601-1+1-1-20.0%0.0%14,440
May 19, 202610-75+01-750.0%0.0%14,033
May 12, 2026760+36+076+360.6%0.0%13,347
May 5, 2026400+40-5140+910.3%0.0%12,815
Apr 28, 2026051+0-20-51+200.0%0.4%14,754
Apr 21, 2026071+0+0-71+00.0%0.5%14,268
Apr 14, 2026071+0+0-71+00.0%0.5%13,816
Apr 7, 2026071+0+4-71-40.0%0.5%13,142
Mar 31, 2026067+0+0-67+00.0%0.4%14,750
Mar 24, 2026067+0+6-67-60.0%0.5%14,250
Mar 17, 2026061+0+0-61+00.0%0.4%13,743
Mar 10, 2026061+0+15-61-150.0%0.5%13,168
Mar 3, 2026046-674-1,299-46+6250.0%0.4%13,015
Feb 24, 20266741,345+89-5-671+944.6%9.2%14,688
Feb 17, 20265851,350-69+33-765-1024.2%9.7%13,899
Feb 10, 20266541,317+113-211-663+3244.9%9.8%13,496
Feb 3, 20265411,528-9,191-7,030-987-2,1614.0%11.4%13,354
Jan 27, 20269,7328,558+52+1201,174-6864.8%57.0%15,011
Jan 20, 20269,6808,438+859+1,0621,242-20365.7%57.3%14,729
Jan 13, 20268,8217,376+562+5601,445+265.3%54.6%13,511
Jan 6, 20268,2596,816-1,585-8151,443-77065.0%53.6%12,716
Dec 30, 20259,8447,631+9,766+7,6312,213+2,13567.3%52.2%14,616
Dec 23, 2025780+0+078+00.5%0.0%14,442
Dec 16, 2025780-15+078-150.6%0.0%13,802
Dec 9, 2025930+0+093+00.7%0.0%13,205
Dec 2, 2025930+0+093+00.7%0.0%12,937

COT report

Longs vs shorts by trader category — week by week

Browse the official CFTC report week by week to see how each trader group's positioning has shifted. The WoW Δ column shows the net contract change from the prior week.

May 26, 2026(Latest)
Open interest: 14,440 contractsWeek 1 of 26
Trader typeLongShortNetLong % OIShort % OINet % OIWoW Δ Net

Managed Money

Reference group used for the main bias model

01-1+0.0%+0.0%-0.0%-2

Other Reportables

2,1696191,550+15.0%+4.3%+10.7%+5

Producer Merchant

8,5069,984-1,478+58.9%+69.1%-10.2%-10

Swap Dealers

3831,035-652+2.6%+7.2%-4.5%-42

Nonreportable

1,241660581+8.6%+4.6%+4.0%+49

Interpretation layer

Why the terminal reads this market the way it does

The platform turns the underlying scores into a readable narrative: pressure, confirmation, macro support, and crowding.

Positioning pressure

The market is leaning bearish. This week looks steady versus the recent range.

Trend check

Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet.

Macro check

Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Crowding

Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme.

Current positioning

The market is leaning bearish. Positioning is noticeable but not yet extreme. Managed Money is currently net short by 1 contracts.

Macro regime

Macro signals are modestly supportive for Argus Far East Propane - Ice Futures Energy Div.

Replay summary

Mixed regime. The market is leaning bearish. Price trend is flat, so momentum is not adding much confirmation yet. Macro conditions are fighting the current positioning.

Risk layer

Veto reasons and caution flags

These are the conditions that reduce conviction even when the raw positioning signal looks strong.

Price trend does not confirm positioning.
Macro environment is not supportive.